Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.653023 0.730808 0.815228 0.913827 1.026038 1.150013 1.297693
2025-02-23 0.536044 0.643093 0.768688 0.927662 1.124570 1.361797 1.671257
2025-03-02 0.455819 0.571899 0.715151 0.906348 1.156965 1.477191 1.922000
2025-03-09 0.413601 0.538475 0.699182 0.923432 1.231841 1.646319 2.254378
2025-03-16 0.371682 0.498979 0.668637 0.914408 1.266496 1.760622 2.520731
2025-03-23 0.343444 0.473948 0.653453 0.922487 1.322587 1.907030 2.846783
2025-03-30 0.313584 0.443234 0.626540 0.909612 1.344763 2.003538 3.105940
2025-04-06 0.290138 0.419244 0.606481 0.903780 1.375196 2.113338 3.396361
2025-04-13 0.261378 0.384829 0.567786 0.865294 1.349820 2.131003 3.534686
2025-04-20 0.247990 0.372343 0.560869 0.875238 1.401939 2.278045 3.909528
2025-04-27 0.236156 0.361177 0.554826 0.885531 1.454805 2.430558 4.311560
2025-05-04 0.224818 0.349826 0.547392 0.892471 1.501938 2.576926 4.719335
2025-05-11 0.213398 0.337760 0.538254 0.896368 1.545290 2.723276 5.151373
2025-05-18 0.205036 0.330104 0.535806 0.911608 1.610528 2.917074 5.705065
2025-05-25 0.191006 0.311912 0.514110 0.890566 1.606218 2.977736 5.992146
2025-06-01 0.184610 0.306228 0.513405 0.907328 1.674745 3.187139 6.624151
2025-06-08 0.174643 0.293641 0.499616 0.898479 1.692312 3.295613 7.048498
2025-06-15 0.168045 0.286515 0.494983 0.906400 1.743661 3.478674 7.668374
2025-06-22 0.158988 0.274387 0.480397 0.893777 1.751697 3.570406 8.085819
2025-06-29 0.151577 0.264778 0.469787 0.888059 1.773410 3.693844 8.598146
2025-07-06 0.140495 0.247757 0.444213 0.850323 1.723432 3.652149 8.689750
2025-07-13 0.136237 0.243212 0.442026 0.860073 1.777313 3.852507 9.435968
2025-07-20 0.132273 0.238971 0.440112 0.870166 1.832801 4.062694 10.242016